Plus, New Hampshire's primary goes rogue

Monday, Oct. 19, 2026

POLLS CLOSE

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Jennifer Palmieri: DeSantis' final gift to Trump

 

Jennifer Palmieri: DeSantis' final gift to Trump

It was a fitting end to Ron DeSantis’ ill-fated campaign: The Florida governor’s departure from the race seemed orchestrated to inflict the maximum damage on Nikki Haley ahead of New Hampshire, and not front-runner Donald Trump. There has always been a fantasy football flavor to the Haley-DeSantis rivalry. The duo consistently trained their fire on each other — hoping to emerge as the only viable alternative to Trump in a two-person race — rather than going after the former president directly.

 

DeSantis could have helped Haley ignite some magical New Hampshire momentum by following in Chris Christie’s footsteps and dropping out with a rousing call to stop Trump. Instead, he kicked sideways on his way out the door, throwing cold water on Team Haley’s dreams with a devastating Trump endorsement.

 

Haley may still pull out an old-fashioned New Hampshire miracle. But on Sunday afternoon it felt like DeSantis was acknowledging what national polls have reflected for some time: Donald Trump was always going to be the candidate Republicans sent to this Super Bowl.

 

Still, he remains a vulnerable potential candidate in the general election, with both Iowa results and New Hampshire polls showing nearly half of Republicans support a candidate other than Trump.

 

The problem for hopefuls like Haley and DeSantis is that there is not enough common ground between the roughly 50% who love Trump and the roughly 50% who do not. Notably, around 25% of likely Iowa caucusgoers said in an NBC News poll this month that they would not vote for Trump in the general. President Joe Biden might be able to pull some of these unhappy conservatives his way. And the sooner the Republican primary ends, the sooner Biden can start making that case to those voters.  

 

Don't miss any major updates from the New Hampshire primary. Follow MSNBC's live blog coverage here. 

MARK YOUR CALENDARS

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MADDOWBLOG'S CAMPAIGN ROUND-UP

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  1. In New Hampshire, the final NBC-10/Boston Globe/Suffolk tracking poll found Trump expanding on his lead over Haley, 60% to 38%.
  2. In North Dakota, Republican Gov. Doug Burgum, on the heels of his failed presidential campaign, announced that he won’t seek a third term. There’s already ample chatter about the outgoing governor eyeing a spot in Trump’s White House Cabinet if the former president is elected in the fall.
  3. Ahead of the anniversary of the Supreme Court’s Roe v. Wade decision, the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee launched a new website, highlighting Republican Senate candidates’ records on matters of reproductive rights. Read the rest of Steve Benen's round-up here.

QUESTION OF THE WEEK

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Days after coming in second place to Trump in the Iowa caucuses, Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis ended his presidential campaign.

VOTE HERE

 

TOP ELECTION NEWS 

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New Hampshire secretary of state explains what makes this primary different from other races

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Nikki Haley makes the choice easy for New Hampshire voters

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Rachel Maddow

Trump is selling ‘the end of politics’ to his base

 

GO DEEPER

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For more insights from Jennifer Palmieri, listen to the "How to Win 2024" podcast where she and Claire MacCaskill address key developments throughout the election season. The latest episode, McCaskill and Palmieri analyze Trump’s win in last Monday’s Iowa caucuses and explain why it may not be the landslide his campaign is touting. Plus, a look ahead to the New Hampshire primary with the state's former chair of the Republican Party, Jennifer Horn. Listen now.

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